Thursday, January 22, 2009


According to Dick Morris in this article, The Obama presidency: Here comes socialism, we have started down the slippery slope of no return towards becoming more European.
2009-2010 will rank with 1913-14, 1933-36, 1964-65 and 1981-82 as years that will permanently change our government, politics and lives. Just as the stars were aligned for Wilson, Roosevelt, Johnson and Reagan, they are aligned for Obama. Simply put, we enter his administration as free-enterprise, market-dominated, laissez-faire America. We will shortly become like Germany, France, the United Kingdom, or Sweden — a socialist democracy in which the government dominates the economy, determines private-sector priorities and offers a vastly expanded range of services to many more people at much higher taxes. [Emphasis Mine]
So why is that such a bad thing? Will not the World like us better if we become more like the World? That's one possibility, but by becoming more like everybody else, we also give up all that makes us unique as a Nation. One reason the European countries "hate" us is because we are that shining beacon which reminds them of their failures.

America stood as the one World Power that everybody loved to ridicule and hold in contempt publicly. But privately, they envied us because of our uniqueness. The rest of the world saw in the US, what they failed to achieve. So they attacked our unique principles because they emphasized their own failures.

Dick Morris was the "Karl Rove" of the Clinton Presidency. He has credibility when it comes to Presidential Politics. Therefore when Dick Morris expresses his opinion, it is worth listening.
In implementing his agenda, Barack Obama will emulate the example of Franklin D. Roosevelt. (Not the liberal mythology of the New Deal, but the actuality of what it accomplished.) When FDR took office, he was enormously successful in averting a total collapse of the banking system and the economy. But his New Deal measures only succeeded in lowering the unemployment rate from 23 percent in 1933, when he took office, to 13 percent in the summer of 1937. It never went lower. And his policies of over-regulation generated such business uncertainty that they triggered a second-term recession. Unemployment in 1938 rose to 17 percent and, in 1940, on the verge of the war-driven recovery, stood at 15 percent. (These data and the real story of Hoover’s and Roosevelt’s missteps, uncolored by ideology, are available in The Forgotten Man by Amity Shlaes, copyright 2007.)
FDR, like Obama, was a very Charismatic Personality. President Obama has inspired Hope in the people by his word. But his words are very light on substance. They are feel good platitudes, without specifics. Unfortunately the electorate (voters) have allowed "his words" to pass for the specifics. And on this, John McCain got it right - "Hope is not a plan." While his words are still short of specifics, the specifics of the Obama Plan have become evident.
But in the name of a largely unsuccessful effort to end the Depression, Roosevelt passed crucial and permanent reforms that have dominated our lives ever since, including Social Security, the creation of the Securities and Exchange Commission, unionization under the Wagner Act, the federal minimum wage and a host of other fundamental changes.

Obama’s record will be similar, although less wise and more destructive. He will begin by passing every program for which liberals have lusted for decades, from alternative-energy sources to school renovations, infrastructure repairs and technology enhancements. These are all good programs, but they normally would be stretched out for years. But freed of any constraint on the deficit — indeed, empowered by a mandate to raise it as high as possible — Obama will do them all rather quickly.
Of course these programs will be hailed as "Change We Can Believe In". But what will be the result of the Emperor's New Clothes? It will be change, that's true, but not what we need to believe in. Consider carefully what Dick Morris writes.
But it is not his spending that will transform our political system, it is his tax and welfare policies. In the name of short-term stimulus, he will give every American family (who makes less than $200,000) a welfare check of $1,000 euphemistically called a refundable tax credit. And he will so sharply cut taxes on the middle class and the poor that the number of Americans who pay no federal income tax will rise from the current one-third of all households to more than half. In the process, he will create a permanent electoral majority that does not pay taxes, but counts on ever-expanding welfare checks from the government. The dependency on the dole, formerly limited in pre-Clinton days to 14 million women and children on Aid to Families with Dependent Children, will now grow to a clear majority of the American population. [Emphasis Mine]
"A Permanent Electoral Majority" is going to be relying on the Government for their income, their Welfare Check. Thus insuring the Liberals continued success in the voting booth, because these voters are unlikely to "bite the hand that feeds them". This "Tax Cut" will also keep the Left happy. It is part of the Obama Campaign Promise. Another Campaign Promise, (to raise Taxes on the Rich), will be used to appease the Conservatives temporarily. He will claim that "Now is not the time to raise Taxes due to the Economy". But make no mistake, a Tax Hike is coming.
Will he raise taxes? Why should he? With a congressional mandate to run the deficit up as high as need be, there is no reason to raise taxes now and risk aggravating the depression. Instead, Obama will follow the opposite of the Reagan strategy. Reagan cut taxes and increased the deficit so that liberals could not increase spending. Obama will raise spending and increase the deficit so that conservatives cannot cut taxes. And, when the economy is restored, he will raise taxes with impunity, since the only people who will have to pay them would be rich Republicans.
If all this is not bad enough, there is more to come. More Social Democracy. More Europeanization of America. This time in the Nationalism of the Banking System. Government ownership of the Banks.
In the name of stabilizing the banking system, Obama will nationalize it. Using Troubled Asset Relief Program funds to write generous checks to needy financial institutions, his administration will demand preferred stock in exchange. Preferred stock gets dividends before common stockholders do. With the massive debt these companies will owe to the government, they will only be able to afford dividends for preferred stockholders — the government, not private investors. So who will buy common stock? And the government will demand that its bills be paid before any profits that might materialize are reinvested in the financial institution, so how will the value of the stocks ever grow? Devoid of private investors, these institutions will fall ever more under government control.

Obama will begin the process by limiting executive compensation. Then he will urge restructuring and lowering of home mortgages in danger of default (as the feds have already done with Citibank).

Then will come guidance on the loans to make and government instructions on the types of enterprises to favor. God grant that some Blagojevich type is not in charge of the program, using his power to line his pockets. The United States will find itself with an economic system comparable to that of Japan, where the all-powerful bureaucracy at MITI (Ministry of International Trade and Industry) manages the economy, often making mistakes like giving mainframe computers priority over the development of laptops.
And there is still more to come from the leadership of the Obama Presidency. HEALTH CARE AND RATIONING OF HEALTH SERVICES.
But it is the healthcare system that will experience the most dramatic and traumatic of changes. The current debate between erecting a Medicare-like governmental single payer or channeling coverage through private insurance misses the essential point. Without a lot more doctors, nurses, clinics, equipment and hospital beds, health resources will be strained to the breaking point. The people and equipment that now serve 250 million Americans and largely neglect all but the emergency needs of the other 50 million will now have to serve everyone. And, as government imposes ever more Draconian price controls and income limits on doctors, the supply of practitioners and equipment will decline as the demand escalates. Price increases will be out of the question, so the government will impose healthcare rationing, denying the older and sicker among us the care they need and even barring them from paying for it themselves. (Rationing based on income and price will be seen as immoral.)
Despite the best efforts of Michael Moore, The healthcare system of the World's Social Democracies, like England, Canada, Cuba and France, is not nearly as good as what we now have. When National HealthCare is instituted, the law of supply and demand will insure rationing of services. It will be the Government who will decide who get the care and who is denied. Those denied first will be those who need it most - the old, and the terminally ill. This is one of the "Benefits" of the Social Democracy Model of National HealthCare. It is one of the Cruelest forms of punishment for "feel good" platitudes. The campaign promise of Universal HealthCare is a myth. It cannot happen with the Obama's and the Left's ideas.

But there is still more to come. Immigration Reform is on the agenda too. Not for the right reason, though. For Political Gain is the motivation behind this promise.
And Obama will move to change permanently the partisan balance in America. He will move quickly to legalize all those who have been in America for five years, albeit illegally, and to smooth their paths to citizenship and voting. He will weaken border controls in an attempt to hike the Latino vote as high as he can in order to make red states like Texas into blue states like California. By the time he is finished, Latinos and African-Americans will cast a combined 30 percent of the vote. If they go by top-heavy margins for the Democrats, as they did in 2008, it will assure Democratic domination (until they move up the economic ladder and become good Republicans). [Emphasis Mine]
The additional result of this weakened immigration policy will be two-fold. It will increase the Left's Voter Base, but it will also make us much more subject to Terrorist Attacks. The Terrorists who hate the West, have not gone away, and many are already here. More are coming because of this idea.

As further evidence of our rapid movement to Social Democracy, consider the next two paragraphs. The Secret Ballot and Free Speech are going to be fettered with these ideas.
And he will enact the check-off card system for determining labor union representation, repealing the secret ballot in union elections. The result will be to raise the proportion of the labor force in unions up to the high teens from the current level of about 12 percent.

Finally, he will use the expansive powers of the Federal Communications Commission to impose “local” control and ownership of radio stations and to impose the “fairness doctrine” on talk radio. The effect will be to drive talk radio to the Internet, fundamentally change its economics, and retard its growth for years hence.
Dick Morris paints a bleak picture of an Obama Presidency. One which we should be very cautious about accepting.

In the end, we must all ask ourselves - "Will this help solve our Economic and Political problems?" Dick Morris ends his article thusly.
But none of these changes will cure the depression. It will end when the private sector works through the high debt levels that triggered the collapse in the first place. And, then, the large stimulus package deficits will likely lead to rapid inflation, probably necessitating a second recession to cure it.

So Obama’s name will be mud by 2012 and probably by 2010 as well. And the Republican Party will make big gains and regain much of its lost power.

But it will be too late to reverse the socialism of much of the economy, the demographic change in the electorate, the rationing of healthcare by the government, the surge of unionization and the crippling of talk radio.
Hope is not a plan, and this is not change we can believe in.

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