Monday, August 20, 2007

Global Warming Deniers Strike Back

As someone trained in the Scientific Method, I have long been skeptical of Al Gore and the Celebrity Global Warming Alarmists claims of impending disaster. The Chicken Little, Gloom and Doom types generally refuse to enter into any meaningful debate about Global Climate Change because "It is Settled". The Chicken Little group will not listen to, and attempt to silence any and all critics with innuendo, half-truths and bullying tactics, but very little factual, scientific rebuttal.

Recently the forces trying to force Carbon Offsets and drastic, expensive life-style changes down our throats through a Political Agenda and Man-Made Political Legislation have suffered several set-backs. Recently I wrote 2 different posts, Y2K Bug In US Climate Temperature Data and Global Warming - Before Gore Version which showed that when the Y2K Bug was fixed, 1934 not 1998 is the USA's hottest year. In fact by fixing this Bug, a re-calculation of data placed 5 of the 10 warmest US years prior to World War II. An Inconvenient Fact which seriously undermined the Chicken Little crowd because their claims no longer fits the facts.

Additional posts can be accessed by following my Global Warming Link. And last week I missed an important article from TCSdaily. This article (A Report from the Global Warming Battlefield) highlights the Y2K Bug.
First, NASA's James Hansen and his group had to fix a Y2K bug that a Canadian statistician found in their processing of the thermometer data. As a result, 1998 is no longer the warmest year on record in the United States - 1934 is. The temperature adjustment is admittedly small, yet there seemed to be no rush to retract the oft-repeated alarmist statements that have seared "1998!" into our brains as the rallying cry for the fight against global warming.
And there is other evidence unfavorable to the Global Warming Alarmists claims. One example is the placement of US Temperature Measuring Stations and Equipment which has allowed faulty, or at least questionable, data to be recorded and used.
Then, the issue of spurious heat influences on the thermometers that NOAA uses to monitor global temperatures has reared its ugly head. Personally, I've been waiting for this one for a long time. Ordinary citizens are now traveling throughout their home states, taking pictures of the local conditions around these thermometer sites.

To everyone's astonishment, all kinds of spurious heat sources have cropped up over the years next to the thermometers. Air conditioning exhaust fans, burn barrels, asphalt parking lots, roofs, jet exhaust. Who could have known? Shocking.
Further reading of this TCS article reveals a fact not mentioned by the Global Warming Alarmists. One of their bully tactics is to claim, as Newsweek and Al Gore did, that Researchers who publish opposing conclusions are tainted by Energy Corporation money while failing to mention the possible bias in their source of funds.
From the other side of the battlefield, Al Gore and Newsweek coordinated an assault on a few skeptics with all kinds of guilt-by-association accusations. They allege that a few scientists were offered $10,000 (!) by Big Oil to research and publish evidence against the theory of manmade global warming.

Of course, the vast majority of mainstream climate researchers receive between $100,000 to $200,000 from the federal government to do the same, but in support of manmade global warming. Apparently, that's okay since we all know that the federal government is unbiased and there to help, whereas petroleum companies only exist to force us to burn fuels that do nothing more than ruin the environment.
Also rarely mentioned is that Al Gore and selected friends, will rake in Millions of Dollars if Government Legislation can mandate his agenda. (For information on this subject see my post - Gore's Global Warming Profits)

Finally, maybe it's nitpicking, but I have never denied that Global Warming is a fact. My position is that we don't have enough accurate data to determine the cause and effect of Global Climate Change. This is important because Al Gore and the Other supporters of the "Disaster is Approaching Rapidly" screed, requires Expensive Life-Style changes for all of us. The Cost Of Global Warming is going to be a very hard pill to swallow. We return to the TCS article for this final quote.
Oh, and by the way, in the interests of a fair fight, the next time someone sees Al Gore, could you ask him to stop calling us "global warming deniers"? I don't know of anyone who denies that the Earth has warmed. I'm sure this has just been an honest misunderstanding on Mr. Gore's part, and he'll be more than happy to stop doing it.
However, there is good news for all of us about Global Climate Change (a better term than Global Warming). Another post at Michael Asher Blog published at Daily Tech last week advanced a new theory to account for the Global Climate Changes, both past and present. Major New Theory Proposed to Explain Global Warming opens with this paragraph.
"Arctic Ocean Getting Warm; Seals Vanish and Icebergs Melt" --Washington Post headline, November 2, 1922 [emphasis mine].
A great example to show that Global Climate Changes (both Warmer and Cooler) have been making headlines in Newspapers and Scientific Journals for nearly a century. About 30 years ago, the Climatologists were predicting a cooling Earth could be the fear of the 21st century.

As the post's Headline states, there is a New Theory to examine.
But that 80-year old news story also illustrates two of the great problems for the global warming theory -- its inability to explain sudden climate shifts in the Earth's past, and to explain why the Northern and Southern Hemispheres are so unequally affected by warming.

A team of mathematicians have come forth with a startling new theory that solves both these problems. Led by Dr. Anastasios Tsonis, their model says the known cycles of the Earth's oceans -- the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Nino (Southern Oscillation) and the North Pacific Oscillation -- all tend to try to synchronize with each other.
The Theory is based on a branch of mathematics know as Synchronized Chaos. If you don't have a firm grasp of advanced mathematics, just accept that it exists and someone understands it. Here, from the Daily Tech Blog again, is the layman's explanation of Synchronized Chaos.
The math predicts the degree of coupling to increase over time, causing the solution to "bifurcate," or split. Then, the synchronization vanishes. The result is a climate shift.

Eventually the cycles begin to sync up again, causing a repeating pattern of warming and cooling, along with sudden changes in the frequency and strength of El Nino events.
Simply put, this new theory, as I understand it, means Global Climate Change is More of a Natural Process than a Man-Made disaster. The evidence in these and other Scientific Studies would support the statement "That Man has not been shown to contribute significantly to disastrous Global Climate Change".

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