Wednesday, June 20, 2007

More Global Warming er...COOLING

Recently I wrote a post linking to an article in the Australian Newspaper the "Courier Mail". This article explained some reasons why the current "Global Warming is an immediate threat" crowd might be wrong. Another article published Today in the on-line "Canadian Financial Post" suggests we should be more concerned about the threat of Global Cooling. The article titled Read the sunspots, by Dr. R. Timothy Patterson, Ph.D. is part of a series of articles called Climate Change: The Deniers.

Dr. Patterson reminds us that:
"We are assured by everyone from David Suzuki to Al Gore to Prime Minister Stephen Harper that "the science is settled." At the recent G8 summit, German Chancellor Angela Merkel even attempted to convince world leaders to play God by restricting carbon-dioxide emissions to a level that would magically limit the rise in world temperatures to 2C."
But is it really settled? Dr. Patterson and I agree that question should be answered with a resounding NO! As the author states in the article Climate stability has never been a feature of planet Earth. The Global Warming measures Political Types want us to institute are going to be very costly and we can't even be sure that they will work. Why? because we still don't understand the mechanics of Global Climate Change. The old "If you don't like the Weather, wait 5 minutes" is as true today as it was centuries ago. Unfortunately the Global Warming supporters for the most part will not listen to opposing view points. Their minds are already made up and they act like they don't want to be confused by any facts which don't agree with their conclusion. Therefore, to them the matter is settled. For the record, Al Gore declared the "Fact of Global Warming Settled" in 1992.
"Climate-change research is now literally exploding with new findings. Since the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, the field has had more research than in all previous years combined and the discoveries are completely shattering the myths. For example, I and the first-class scientists I work with are consistently finding excellent correlations between the regular fluctuations in the brightness of the sun and earthly climate. This is not surprising. The sun and the stars are the ultimate source of all energy on the planet."
Before we go much further, I should probably point out that Dr. R. Timothy Patterson, Ph.D. is professor and director of the Ottawa-Carleton Geoscience Centre, Department of Earth Sciences, Carleton University. He is therefore somewhat familiar with his subject and has been studying Climate Issues since 1998. Mr. Patterson's article describes that he got involved in Global Climate predictions and observations by looking at the mud in the bottom of a fjord. His findings include a
... 62-year slice of the record at about 4,400 years ago, there was a shift in climate in only a couple of seasons from warm, dry and sunny conditions to one that was mostly cold and rainy for several decades.
Climate change is not yet understood enough to panic, but we do know from the historical analysis of the fjord bottom, that the past has involved many changes in Earth's temperature. These temperatures have been shown to be as much as 6C (10.8F) warmer and cooler than what we are currently experiencing. And while this does not mean we should do nothing, It does indicate we should not make a drastic costly irreversible decisions.
"But the science of global climate change is still in its infancy, with many thousands of papers published every year. In a 2003 poll conducted by German environmental researchers Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch, two-thirds of more than 530 climate scientists from 27 countries surveyed did not believe that "the current state of scientific knowledge is developed well enough to allow for a reasonable assessment of the effects of greenhouse gases." About half of those polled stated that the science of climate change was not sufficiently settled to pass the issue over to policymakers at all."
So Dr. Patterson believes that the Sun is the most significant factor involved in the prediction of Earth's Climate Change. While not the only indicators, Sunspots and Solar Flare activity are events which most closely correspond with periods of Global Climate Change. He does not believe we have enough information to make rational decisions as yet. I will leave you with this final quote form Dr. Patterson's article.
"Solar scientists predict that, by 2020, the sun will be starting into its weakest Schwabe solar cycle of the past two centuries, likely leading to unusually cool conditions on Earth. Beginning to plan for adaptation to such a cool period, one which may continue well beyond one 11-year cycle, as did the Little Ice Age, should be a priority for governments. It is global cooling, not warming, that is the major climate threat to the world. [Emphasis Mine]

Previous Posts on Global Warming
Global Warming is A Hot Topic

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